2024-12-13 05:52:40
This time, the difference is only 0.007. Do you still remember that the global capital market plummeted and melted on August 5? Then in September, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50bp urgently. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut was 90.5%. After the meeting, the most eagle representative said that we should not look at this data, but the inflation rate. Then next Wednesday, the US cpi is also very important, so beware of short-term risks, especially the risk control at the index level.Finally, let's talk about value investment. You can read a book called "Smart Investor". There is almost no value investment at this time. The so-called core assets you eat are his growth attributes, while the value itself puts forward that Graham, the teacher of investor Buffett, was born in a big era and was originally a manufacturing industry. It is very simple how much your computer room equipment is worth. As long as your stock is lower than this price, there is a margin of safety. This is the meaning of value investment itself, and the current company value is very high. I don't know who cared about dpi in the primary market in 15 years. I only care about the dream value, and why a large number of institutions like to buy Maotai, because it is the company with the simplest financial statement in the whole A-share market (except the one that runs scallops), and its price-earnings ratio, spread, poor growth rate and valuation center are all good ways to evaluate, including some ETFs that have fallen into transformers.It is necessary to adjust the interest rate of 10/30 bonds in the future. The yield of the anchor 10-year government bonds priced by capital assets fell below 2%. Remember the spread between stocks and bonds we talked about? This is a good phenomenon. Before, A shares were not anchored by this anchor, which also confirmed that the initial intention of this round of "bull market" was the re-pricing of RMB assets. This 2% is equivalent to a calm lake. Real estate, stocks and other assets are all canoes above, but you can see that the stock market is declining, so there is bound to be a factor accelerating. Is real estate?
Finally, let's talk about value investment. You can read a book called "Smart Investor". There is almost no value investment at this time. The so-called core assets you eat are his growth attributes, while the value itself puts forward that Graham, the teacher of investor Buffett, was born in a big era and was originally a manufacturing industry. It is very simple how much your computer room equipment is worth. As long as your stock is lower than this price, there is a margin of safety. This is the meaning of value investment itself, and the current company value is very high. I don't know who cared about dpi in the primary market in 15 years. I only care about the dream value, and why a large number of institutions like to buy Maotai, because it is the company with the simplest financial statement in the whole A-share market (except the one that runs scallops), and its price-earnings ratio, spread, poor growth rate and valuation center are all good ways to evaluate, including some ETFs that have fallen into transformers.Here, everyone who has read history should know that there is an old saying called "the power is not lower than the county, the county is the only clan, and the gentry is built by ethics". Let's retranslate this sentence and put it down. The decentralization of local debt approval is accelerating the process of debt conversion. You can understand that the major policies have been set and can be implemented, and the approval criticized by everyone is directly cut off. We must quickly complete the debt conversion and the county is the only clan.Speculation is purely about volatility, studying a lot of empty power and strictly stopping losses. I don't know if you have found a problem. Before, I met an uncle who was over 60 years old and made a stock. At first glance, the ticket for market value management was sloppy and had no fundamentals, but even if he bought it at the end of the day, he made a profit and ran down a little the next day. I made a quantitative back test and the ticket didn't exceed 0.3. Last year, this uncle did 142% of this operation on an annualized basis, and the light handling fee accounted for 4% of the funds, and the maximum withdrawal was 6%. This data means that almost all the public and private offerings in Shenzhen are suspended. Another question, have you found that in A-shares, as long as there is a scientific and technological direction guided by policies, don't worry about low-altitude quantum computing power or ai, and don't worry about how hard the callback is, it can't be stopped at all? It's very interesting, everyone. If everyone's capital is only tens of thousands, I think it is very necessary to study it. Suppose your principal is 100 thousand, 1% per day, 120w a year, and hundreds of millions in three years.
Here, everyone who has read history should know that there is an old saying called "the power is not lower than the county, the county is the only clan, and the gentry is built by ethics". Let's retranslate this sentence and put it down. The decentralization of local debt approval is accelerating the process of debt conversion. You can understand that the major policies have been set and can be implemented, and the approval criticized by everyone is directly cut off. We must quickly complete the debt conversion and the county is the only clan.So for next week, since it's super week, we'd better respect it, such as lowering positions, unloading leverage, meetings, and our cpi. This expectation can all go to 0.5, and the cpi of America is expected to go to 2.7. If these two important data are added to a meeting, the capital market will fluctuate violently, and there will be two turning points of re-inflation. Here's a data, remember what we said a long time ago.This time, the difference is only 0.007. Do you still remember that the global capital market plummeted and melted on August 5? Then in September, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50bp urgently. After the data was released, the probability of the Fed's interest rate cut was 90.5%. After the meeting, the most eagle representative said that we should not look at this data, but the inflation rate. Then next Wednesday, the US cpi is also very important, so beware of short-term risks, especially the risk control at the index level.